According to canonical financial theory a firm's debt/equity split, or "capital structure", should have no effect on overall firm value. It's just different ways of slicing up the same money pie, in a common metaphor. But if you introduce tax deductions for debt payments, the equation changes. Then the theory predicts that a rational firm should load up on debt financing, in order to capture the benefit of the "interest tax shelter". If bankruptcy were not an issue, rational firms would move to ~100% debt financing in order to extract the largest possible subsidy. With bankruptcy a possibility, a rational firm loads up on debt until the marginal increase in bankruptcy risk outweighs the marginal benefit of the subsidy. But if imperfect managers underestimate bankruptcy risk during periods of stability, they may unwittingly (or purposefully, if there are agency problems) bring firms close to the brink, provoking traumatic failures when the gales of an untamed business cycle blow strong and hard. By covering a large fraction of corporate interest payments, the government effectively subsidizes financial risk-taking that serves no operational purpose but generates real social costs.
This blog is a platform that I use to share ideas and catalogue my thoughts. My main interests are in Entrepreneurship, Venture Investing, Hospitality and Economics.
Showing posts with label Debt. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Debt. Show all posts
Tuesday, September 15, 2009
Eliminate Tax Incentive for Leverage
Taleb goes to Congressional committee hearing
- De-leverage the system
- Stop transferring debt from private sector to public sector through bailouts
- Do not do deficit spending i.e. Stop printing money
- Reduce the size of banks, have many banks and remove the Too Big To Fail syndrome
- Do not pass laws thinking you understand or stop Risks to the system, because we don't understand Risk as we live in a Complex world. Putting rules to stop bad behavior in this complex world is naive thinking.
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