Showing posts with label Silicon Valley. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Silicon Valley. Show all posts

Tuesday, March 27, 2012

Business Model vs. Business Plan



There is a fundamental difference between a business model and business plan. A Business Model defines how you will make your product or service economically viable. A business plan describe how you are going to make your business model work. One does not always know how the plan is going to evolve, so building detailed plans although a great thought or intellectual exercise adds no real value because you are wasting time making assumption about the world out there and hope that your strategies or "plans" will address those assumptions and hypothesis. The truth could not be far from it. Most people confuse this with the product development road map and the classic example I get is people saying "hey, Steve Jobs did not go and interview his customers before he created the iPod, iPad, the Mac Air or any of the products that has come out of Apple..." to that I have only one answer, unfortunately there was only one Steve Jobs and how do we know that Steve did not do that? he had a keen eye for design and detail, he spend considerable amount of time in Silicon Valley being part of the information revolution and he had many fails to learn from. I try to remind those I am talking to that they need to spend 30 years in Silicon Valley, formed 2 or 3 multi-billion dollar companies, have the same network and experience of Steve Jobs before being able to compare themselves to what Steve Jobs did. There is a simpler way, Steve Blank, has written books, taught classesand has done many things to showcase the Customer Development Methodology, which is nothing but a Business Model. If you approach problems with the Customer Development method, you can build a pretty good hypothesis and once you have an hypothesis, it can be validated and based on the results you can build a business. The trick is to get through that cycle as fast as you can and then execute based on the learning. It is never simple and straight forward you have change your hypothesis several times and build and re-build your business model that is why it is a startup.

Enhanced by Zemanta

Saturday, February 11, 2012

Connectors, Mavens and Sales(person)

The Tipping Point: How Little Things Can Make ...
The book Tipping Point by Malcolm Gladwell influenced my thinking a lot. I read the book as soon as it came off the press, I listen to it all the time when I am running and I had read most of Malcolm Gladwell's other books. An important point that Malcolm Gladwell makes in the book Tipping Point is the categorization of three groups of people and the role they play in making an idea into a social epidemic. The three groups are Connectors, Mavens and Sales(person). The definition of a Connector is very simple, these are the people who know everyone and can make the introduction and connection. The Mavens are the experts in a specific domain and Sales(person) are the people who really have the chemistry to convince people to buy or sell or change their mind about things. I was reading this article about Ron Conway, the Silicon Valley Super Angel investor. He is the quintessential Connector and a Sales(person) put together. What I find interesting while I have been studying the Venture Investor world is that most successful VCs and Angel Investors are prolific networkers and they build fantastic connections. I believe that is the root cause of successfully building an investment. I think the principle here is that our social graphs more or less influence how well connected we are. I also am a follower of Malcolm Gladwell's blog, where he asked the question "Are you a connector?" and had a hypothesis and experiment to test the hypothesis. Check out the link and see where you stand. After reading the article about Ron Conway, I am asking myself how can I build my network that connects to him? If you are an entrepreneur, you should be asking the question do I have someone like Ron Conway in my advisors list or in my board? if you don't think about how to get them on your board. It is probably the most important decision you make. If you cannot advisors to that role, look at your team and see if you can build the Connectors, Mavens and Sales(person) who can make your business idea spread like an epidemic this is one of the secrets to increasing your odds of success in your business.
Enhanced by Zemanta

Monday, January 30, 2012

Who needs another Silicon Valley?

Gunnar Holmstein, the Colorful CEO of Clara comes up with interesting perspectives. He has a question about if startup ecosystems should do what Eric Ries talks about in his book The Lean Startup. Rather than trying to build a "Silicon Valley" clone in every city and country, should we be asking How can we build Sustainable Entrepreneurial Ecosystems the same way we build a company.  The challenges are the same, and we face tremendous uncertainty in both situations. Can we build better Entrepreneurial Ecosystem by asking the question how do we know it is sustainable? how do we know what we are building is wanted by the market? What should be the metrics that we should measure, so that we can apply the Build - Measure - Learn iterative cycle to even Entrepreneurial Ecosystem building. I think we have a very interesting question to ask our guests and participants for the Conference in Iceland in May. How do we Build a Sustainable Entrepreneurial Ecosystem. Have you signed up yet? if not you can @ http://signup.startupiceland.com.

Chris Schultz was fortunate to hear Brad Feld talk about his 5 components of a sustainable startup ecosystem and he has written about it here, and more recently Brad linked his post on Startup communities to a talk given by David Cohen in San Diego and David has 7 things that need to be there for Startup ecosystems to flourish. Is it possible for us to measure these 5 or 7 things? Can we build-measure-learn these things? I certainly believe so. I am going to list them here and see how we can measure each:

  1. Long View – a 20 year timeline – stakeholders must be committed to the community for long term. Can this be measured? even if we could what would be the purpose of measuring this?
  2. Entrepreneurial leadership - It has to be lead by Entrepreneurs, cannot be led by governments, non-profits, big companies, VCs, lawyers, accountants, economic development, universities.  All of those stakeholders need to be engaged, but entrepreneurs must drive it. This can be measured? basically who is running the show when it comes to Entrepreneurial ecosystem.
  3. Fresh Meat - Need new talent all the time, college graduates and people should move in and out. This is easy to measure, the number of new graduates coming out the universities and maybe a cross mash up between the Design/Creative group and the Technical/Engineering group. A Ratio of Creative/Analytical graduates
  4. Engaging Activities – engage the entrepreneurial community from top to bottom – startup to serial entrepreneurs – get all involved – you need a thing that engages all those people. You want really active engagement for a moderate period of time because its impossible to maintain a high level activity by someone on something that is not core focus. This can be measured as well, the example given is the TechStars program and other incubator programs in Boulder Colorado.
  5. Repeat – must have a rhythm with for a long time.  Must have a beat that last through economic cycles. The only way to build a community is to move beyond boom and bust and build something over extended periods of time. This again is not relevant to measure, but it should be interesting to see continuity.
So what do you think? do we have the necessary ingredients to create an Entrepreneurial Ecosystem here in Iceland?

Enhanced by Zemanta

Saturday, March 05, 2011

Valuation, Lean Startup and Uncertainty

Diagram of the typical financing cycle for a s...Image via WikipediaAlbert Wenger has an interesting post about Valuation of startup companies and the main challenge in valuation of company on the exponential growth path. I could not agree more, this is the same problem that I have highlighted several times with my posts on Power Law and the failure of extrapolations and the Normal Probability Distribution. Albert points out a practical challenge from both sides of the venture table, as an entrepreneur you are not sure how long you need the funding to hit that inflection point and as an investor you are struggling to make sure you are not paying too much for a business that might not pan out. The solution is actually "common sense" but of course "Common Sense" is never "Common Practice", I digress, the solution is to get to a sustainable model where your revenues/cash flows funds the company... you grow your customers base, revenue and cash position... Problem solved! Really, is it that simple, YES it is. 
StartupImage via Wikipedia


Of course all those companies that are building their business model on the Hope that they will draw enough crowd onto their site where in they can monetize the traffic with ads are working on a loosing premise. I know Huffington Post just got paid etc but there are so many content aggregators why only Huff Post got bought out? why not the others? once again the theory of the power law works here. So my take on this is very simple, entrepreneurs should focus on creating value by solving some problem for which someone is willing to pay a price for. If the universe of those willing to pay are price is HUGE then you are onto something.
Enhanced by Zemanta